Rest of Season Projection
AndrewCategorySeth
35K ←33
3.70ERA3.70
1.24WHIP1.24
0–0W0–0
0SV0
Current Season
AndrewCategorySeth
12K →13
7.59ERA →2.92
1.69WHIP →1.54
0W0
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Andrew Kittredge
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.16 sits 0.94 below league — a real arm the ERA is hiding
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.320 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Seth Halvorsen
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.273 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 6.96 is 3.51 above the ERA — regression coming
Andrew Kittredge: 35 K / 3.70 ERA. Seth Halvorsen: 33 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).