MLB Daily DeltaWeek 31 · October 26, 2026
Engraved portrait of Andrew Kittredge
week 31
this weekHOLD
last weekNO CALL

Andrew Kittredge

BAL·P
data as of October 26, 2026·week 31
new call as of October 26, 2026
Hold · steady skill near league average (4.01); hold steady — skill tracks near league, no edge either way.med 0.60
ROSK 0ERA 3.90WHIP 1.29W 0–0SV 0

Kittredge is a hold — league-average skill, nothing unstable underneath.

His expected ERA is 4.01, essentially the league average of 4.10, and he has faced enough batters for that number to be reliable. The rest of the profile agrees: his expected wOBA allowed is .308 against a .315 league mark, and he is limiting hard contact at a 37.4% clip, better than the 40% league rate, with a barrel rate allowed of 6.1% that beats league. The one soft spot is strikeouts — 18.6%, below the 22% league average — offset by a 5.6% walk rate and a 40.4% chase rate that is well above league. His xERA has been stepping down across the sample, so there is nothing here being propped up by luck. This is the level he is at, and it is fine. Hold. 0 K / 3.90 ERA / 1.29 WHIP / 0-0 W / 0 SV is the quiet hold, but that zero strikeout column makes him a deep-league streamer at best.

VS His Norm

  • Strikeout %18.6%—−5.6% ▼vs his ~24.2% career norm
  • Walk %5.6%—−0.7% ▼vs his ~6.3% career norm

Drivers

  • xeraSIGNALskill near league average (4.01)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed37.4%
believable since Jun 1237.4%*
lg avg 40.0% ▼−2.6%vs his norm —
163 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed6.1%
6.1%*
lg avg 8.0% ▼−1.9%vs his norm —
163 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.308
.308*
lg avg .315 ▼−.007vs his norm —
215 / 200 TBF
xERA4.01
4.01*
lg avg 4.10 ▼−0.09vs his norm —
215 / 200 TBF
ERA3.54
3.54*
lg avg 4.10 ▼−0.56vs his norm —ERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.
48.3 / 200 IP
Strikeout %18.6%
norm18.6%*
lg avg 22.0% ▼−3.4%vs his norm −5.6% ▼
215 / 70 TBF
Walk %5.6%
norm5.6%*
lg avg 8.0% ▼−2.4%vs his norm −0.7% ▼
215 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.314
.314*
lg avg .295 ▲+.019vs his norm —BABIP Against is above the ~.295 league average — expect it to fall.
163 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %12.4%
12.4%*
lg avg 11.0% ▲+1.4%vs his norm —
215 / 60 TBF
Chase %40.4%
40.4%*
lg avg 28.5% ▲+11.9%vs his norm —
215 / 60 TBF
Fastball Velo94.2 mph
94.2 mph*
lg avg 94.0 mph ▲+0.2 mphvs his norm —
711 / 50 PITCHES

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf
K% 18.6%→21.3%signal0 K — K% 18.6% (signal) lifted to career ~24.2% → projected 21.3% over ~0 remaining IP.
xERA 4.01signal3.90 ERA — xERA 4.01 (signal) blended 65% skill / 35% league 3.70 at 11 IP.
BB% 5.6% + contactsignal1.29 WHIP — a 6% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.299 gives a 1.32 skill WHIP, blended 65…
run support + role0-0 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.
role (middle)0 SV — role: middle, not in the save mix.
rosterdrop3.90 ERA, 1.29 WHIP

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

Tweet
Compare with

Comparisons

head-to-head matchups