week 25
this weekHOLD
last weekNO CALL
Andrew Kittredge
data as of September 10, 2026·week 25
new call as of September 10, 2026
Hold · steady skill near league average (4.06); hold steady — skill tracks near league, no edge either way.med 0.60 (narrative held for review)
ROSK 5ERA 3.93WHIP 1.30W 0–0SV 0
Kittredge is a hold — league average, nothing pulling either way.
ROS projects K 12 YTD → 5 ROS, ERA 7.59 YTD → 3.93 ROS, WHIP 1.69 YTD → 1.30 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Strikeout %18.3%—−5.9% ▼vs his ~24.2% career norm
- Walk %5.9%—−0.4% ▼vs his ~6.3% career norm
Drivers
- xeraSIGNALskill near league average (4.06)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed37.9%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−2.1%vs his norm —
153 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed5.9%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−2.1%vs his norm —
153 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.311
lg avg .315 ▼−.004vs his norm —
202 / 200 TBF
xERA4.06
lg avg 4.10 ▼−0.04vs his norm —
202 / 200 TBF
ERA3.83
lg avg 4.10 ▼−0.27vs his norm —ERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.
44.7 / 200 IP
Strikeout %18.3%
lg avg 22.0% ▼−3.7%vs his norm −5.9% ▼
202 / 70 TBF
Walk %5.9%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−2.1%vs his norm −0.4% ▼
202 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.322
lg avg .295 ▲+.027vs his norm —BABIP Against is above the ~.295 league average — expect it to fall.
153 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %12.7%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+1.7%vs his norm —
202 / 60 TBF
Chase %41.3%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+12.8%vs his norm —
202 / 60 TBF
Fastball Velo94.3 mph
lg avg 94.0 mph ▲+0.3 mphvs his norm —
661 / 50 PITCHES
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
K% 18.3%→21.2%signal5 K — K% 18.3% (signal) lifted to career ~24.2% → projected 21.2% over ~4 remaining IP.
xERA 4.06signal3.93 ERA — xERA 4.06 (signal) blended 65% skill / 35% league 3.70 at 11 IP.
BB% 5.9% + contactsignal1.30 WHIP — a 6% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.300 gives a 1.34 skill WHIP, blended 65…
run support + role0-0 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.
role (middle)0 SV — role: middle, not in the save mix.
rosterdrop3.93 ERA, 1.30 WHIP
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.