week 17
this weekHOLD
last weekNO CALL
Andrew Kittredge
data as of July 18, 2026·week 17
new call as of July 18, 2026
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (3.56); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSK 22ERA 3.70WHIP 1.24W 0–0SV 0
Kittredge is a hold — league average, nothing to buy or sell.
ROS projects K 12 YTD → 22 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Strikeout %21.1%—−3.1% ▼vs his ~24.2% career norm
Drivers
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.56)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed38.0%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−2.0%vs his norm —
79 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed6.3%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−1.7%vs his norm —
79 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.294
lg avg .315 ▼−.021vs his norm —xwOBA Allowed is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
109 / 200 TBF
xERA3.56
lg avg 4.10 ▼−0.54vs his norm —xERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.
109 / 200 TBF
ERA4.32
lg avg 4.10 ▲+0.22vs his norm —ERA is above the ~4.10 league average — expect it to fall.
25 / 200 IP
Strikeout %21.1%
lg avg 22.0% ▼−0.9%vs his norm −3.1% ▼
109 / 70 TBF
Walk %6.4%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−1.6%vs his norm +0.1% ▲Walk % is above his ~6.3% norm — expect it to fall.
109 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.293
lg avg .295 ▼−.002vs his norm —BABIP Against is below the ~.295 league average — expect it to rise.
79 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %12.3%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+1.3%vs his norm —
109 / 60 TBF
Chase %41.1%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+12.6%vs his norm —
109 / 60 TBF
Fastball Velo94.3 mph
lg avg 94.0 mph ▲+0.3 mphvs his norm —
373 / 50 PITCHES
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
K% 21.1%→23.1%signal22 K — K% 21.1% (signal) lifted to career ~24.2% → projected 23.1% over ~17 remaining IP.
xERA 3.56noise3.70 ERA — xERA 3.56 (noise) blended 0% skill / 100% league 3.70 at 11 IP.
BB% 6.4% + contactnoise1.24 WHIP — a 6% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.295 gives a 1.29 skill WHIP, blended 0%…
run support + role0-0 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.
role (middle)0 SV — role: middle, not in the save mix.
rosterdeep3.70 ERA, 1.24 WHIP
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.