Rest of Season Projection
HobyCategorySeth
24K →33
3.78ERA →3.70
1.25WHIP →1.24
1–2W ←0–0
1–2SV ←0
Current Season
HobyCategorySeth
12K →13
2.49ERA ←2.92
1.03WHIP ←1.54
1W ←0
1SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Hoby Milner
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.255 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 5.25 is 1.39 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 12% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Seth Halvorsen
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.273 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 6.96 is 3.51 above the ERA — regression coming
Hoby Milner: 24 K / 3.78 ERA. Seth Halvorsen: 33 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).