Rest of Season Projection
AJCategoryHoby
36K ←24
3.77ERA3.78
1.29WHIP →1.25
1–4W ←1–2
0SV →1–2
Current Season
AJCategoryHoby
28K ←12
4.42ERA →2.49
1.31WHIP →1.03
2W ←1
0SV →1
What Each Player's System Trusts
AJ Blubaugh
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (4.14)
Hoby Milner
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.263 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 5.41 is 1.42 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 12% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
AJ Blubaugh: 36 K / 3.77 ERA. Hoby Milner: 24 K / 3.78 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).