Rest of Season Projection
AndrewCategoryHoby
34K ←24
3.70ERA ←3.78
1.24WHIP ←1.25
0–0W →1–2
0SV →1–2
Current Season
AndrewCategoryHoby
12K12
7.59ERA →2.49
1.69WHIP →1.03
0W →1
0SV →1
What Each Player's System Trusts
Andrew Kittredge
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.15 sits 0.95 below league — a real arm the ERA is hiding
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.340 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Hoby Milner
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.263 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 5.41 is 1.42 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 12% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Andrew Kittredge: 34 K / 3.70 ERA. Hoby Milner: 24 K / 3.78 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).