Rest of Season Projection
AndrewCategoryJohn
34K ←25
3.70ERA ←3.72
1.24WHIP ←1.25
0–0W0–0
0SV →1–3
Current Season
AndrewCategoryJohn
12K →13
7.59ERA →2.74
1.69WHIP →1.30
0W0
0SV →1
What Each Player's System Trusts
Andrew Kittredge
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.15 sits 0.95 below league — a real arm the ERA is hiding
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.340 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
John Schreiber
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.230 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.46 is 1.79 above the ERA — regression coming
Andrew Kittredge: 34 K / 3.70 ERA. John Schreiber: 25 K / 3.72 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).