Rest of Season Projection
BurchCategoryJohn
34K ←25
3.70ERA ←3.72
1.24WHIP ←1.25
0–0W0–0
0SV →1–3
Current Season
BurchCategoryJohn
20K ←13
3.18ERA →2.74
1.47WHIP →1.30
0W0
0SV →1
What Each Player's System Trusts
Burch Smith
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.29)
John Schreiber
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.230 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.46 is 1.79 above the ERA — regression coming
Smith's 34 K to Schreiber's 26, with nearly identical ERAs (3.70 vs 3.72), support the hold-sell spread.