MLB Daily DeltaWeek 19 · August 3, 2026
Burch Smith
DET · P
Change to
Portrait of John Schreiber
John Schreiber
KC · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Burch Smith.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and WHIP. John Schreiber’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Burch Smith wins 3 categories (K, ERA, WHIP); John Schreiber wins 1 (SV); 1 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Burch Smith
93.8
John Schreiber
93.7
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Burch Smith
10.4%
John Schreiber
9.9%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Burch Smith
27.4%
John Schreiber
17.1%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Burch Smith
26.2%
John Schreiber
26.1%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Burch Smith
47.8%
John Schreiber
43.1%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Burch Smith
4.3%
John Schreiber
7.3%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Burch Smith
.287
John Schreiber
.341
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Burch Smith
2.344.13
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.18
3.70
John Schreiber
2.344.13
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.74
3.73
WHIPlower is better
Burch Smith
1.151.56
now 1.47
1.24
John Schreiber
1.151.56
now 1.30
1.25

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Burch Smith
4025.60
now 20
16
John Schreiber
4025.60
now 13
11
Winshigher is better
Burch Smith
.000.480
now 0
00
John Schreiber
.000.480
now 0
00
Saveshigher is better
Burch Smith
.0002.40
now 0
0
John Schreiber
.0002.40
now 1
01
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeBurch Smith — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeJohn Schreiber — hold.conf 0.50
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