MLB Daily DeltaWeek 19 · August 3, 2026
Portrait of Bryan King
Bryan King
HOU · P
Change to
Burch Smith
DET · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Burch Smith.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and WHIP. Bryan King’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Burch Smith wins 3 categories (K, ERA, WHIP); Bryan King wins 1 (SV); 1 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Bryan King
91.9
Burch Smith
93.8
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Bryan King
8.8%
Burch Smith
10.4%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Bryan King
17.7%
Burch Smith
27.4%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Bryan King
30.9%
Burch Smith
26.2%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Bryan King
36.3%
Burch Smith
47.8%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Bryan King
5.5%
Burch Smith
4.3%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Bryan King
.314
Burch Smith
.287
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Bryan King
2.384.44
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.84
3.98
Burch Smith
2.384.44
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.18
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Bryan King
1.151.56
now 1.30
1.35
Burch Smith
1.151.56
now 1.47
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Bryan King
4025.60
now 19
15
Burch Smith
4025.60
now 20
16
Winshigher is better
Bryan King
.000.480
now 0
00
Burch Smith
.000.480
now 0
00
Saveshigher is better
Bryan King
.0008.40
now 6
35
Burch Smith
.0008.40
now 0
0
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · steadyBryan King — hold.conf 0.60
Hold · wait & seeBurch Smith — hold.conf 0.50
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