Rest of Season Projection
HobyCategoryTim
24K →31
3.78ERA →3.70
1.25WHIP →1.24
1–2W ←0–0
1–2SV ←0
Current Season
HobyCategoryTim
12K →16
2.49ERA ←3.32
1.03WHIP ←1.63
1W ←0
1SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Hoby Milner
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.263 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 5.41 is 1.42 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 12% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Tim Herrin
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.246 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.52 is 0.52 above the ERA — regression coming
Hoby Milner: 25 K / 3.78 ERA. Tim Herrin: 32 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).