Rest of Season Projection
BurchCategoryKeegan
34K →36
3.70ERA3.70
1.24WHIP1.24
0–0W0–0
0SV0
Current Season
BurchCategoryKeegan
20K ←12
3.18ERA ←9.88
1.47WHIP ←1.83
0W0
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Burch Smith
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.29)
Keegan Akin
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.05 sits 0.05 below league — a real arm the ERA is hiding
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.328 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 16% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Burch Smith: 34 K / 3.70 ERA. Keegan Akin: 37 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).