MLB Daily DeltaWeek 18 · July 29, 2026
Burch Smith
DET · P
Change to
Portrait of Keegan Akin
Keegan Akin
BAL · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Keegan Akin.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts. Burch Smith’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Keegan Akin wins 1 categories (K); Burch Smith wins 0 (none); 3 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Burch Smith
93.8
Keegan Akin
93.7
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Burch Smith
10.4%
Keegan Akin
9.5%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Burch Smith
27.4%
Keegan Akin
14.9%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Burch Smith
26.2%
Keegan Akin
28.0%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Burch Smith
47.8%
Keegan Akin
28.4%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Burch Smith
4.3%
Keegan Akin
5.7%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Burch Smith
.287
Keegan Akin
.298
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Burch Smith
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.18
3.70
Keegan Akin
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 9.88
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Burch Smith
12.07
now 1.47
1.24
Keegan Akin
12.07
now 1.83
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Burch Smith
4025.60
now 20
18
Keegan Akin
4025.60
now 12
19
Winshigher is better
Burch Smith
.000.480
now 0
00
Keegan Akin
.000.480
now 0
00

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeBurch Smith — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeKeegan Akin — hold.conf 0.50
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