MLB Daily DeltaWeek 13 · June 22, 2026
Burch Smith
DET · P
Change to
Portrait of Mitch Farris
Mitch Farris
LAA · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Burch Smith.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA and WHIP. Mitch Farris’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Burch Smith wins 2 categories (ERA, WHIP); Mitch Farris wins 1 (K); 1 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Burch Smith
93.8
Mitch Farris
91.8
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Burch Smith
10.4%
Mitch Farris
12.5%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Burch Smith
27.4%
Mitch Farris
23.4%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Burch Smith
26.2%
Mitch Farris
29.6%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Burch Smith
47.8%
Mitch Farris
39.0%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Burch Smith
4.3%
Mitch Farris
6.0%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Burch Smith
.287
Mitch Farris
.329
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Burch Smith
2.764.01
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.18
3.70
Mitch Farris
2.764.01
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.04
3.73
WHIPlower is better
Burch Smith
1.131.63
now 1.47
1.24
Mitch Farris
1.131.63
now 1.52
1.25

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Burch Smith
4043.80
now 20
30
Mitch Farris
4043.80
now 22
37
Winshigher is better
Burch Smith
.000.480
now 0
00
Mitch Farris
.000.480
now 0
00

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeBurch Smith — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeMitch Farris — hold.conf 0.50
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