MLB Daily DeltaWeek 13 · June 22, 2026
Burch Smith
DET · P
Change to
Portrait of Sean Manaea
Sean Manaea
NYM · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Burch Smith.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA and WHIP. Sean Manaea’s box score looks better right now, but it’s built on luck that won’t hold.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Burch Smith wins 2 categories (ERA, WHIP); Sean Manaea wins 1 (K); 1 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Burch Smith
93.8
Sean Manaea
90.4
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Burch Smith
10.4%
Sean Manaea
11.4%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Burch Smith
27.4%
Sean Manaea
23.6%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Burch Smith
26.2%
Sean Manaea
32.6%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Burch Smith
47.8%
Sean Manaea
39.2%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Burch Smith
4.3%
Sean Manaea
8.2%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Burch Smith
.287
Sean Manaea
.314
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Burch Smith
2.425.84
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.18
3.70
Sean Manaea
2.425.84
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.08
3.93
WHIPlower is better
Burch Smith
1.151.56
now 1.47
1.24
Sean Manaea
1.151.56
now 1.46
1.29

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Burch Smith
4069
now 20
30
Sean Manaea
4069
now 42
55
Winshigher is better
Burch Smith
.000.480
now 0
00
Sean Manaea
.000.480
now 0
00

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeBurch Smith — hold.conf 0.50
Buy LowSean Manaea — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.77
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