MLB Daily DeltaWeek 19 · August 4, 2026
Burch Smith
DET · P
Change to
Cole Wilcox
SEA · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Cole Wilcox.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts. Burch Smith’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Cole Wilcox wins 1 categories (K); Burch Smith wins 0 (none); 3 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Burch Smith
93.8
Cole Wilcox
96.6
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Burch Smith
10.4%
Cole Wilcox
14.2%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Burch Smith
27.4%
Cole Wilcox
21.7%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Burch Smith
26.2%
Cole Wilcox
31.4%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Burch Smith
47.8%
Cole Wilcox
44.4%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Burch Smith
4.3%
Cole Wilcox
6.9%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Burch Smith
.287
Cole Wilcox
.357
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Burch Smith
2.296.29
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.18
3.70
Cole Wilcox
2.296.29
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.40
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Burch Smith
.9002.55
now 1.47
1.24
Cole Wilcox
.9002.55
now 2.18
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Burch Smith
4025.60
now 20
16
Cole Wilcox
4025.60
now 15
17
Winshigher is better
Burch Smith
.000.480
now 0
00
Cole Wilcox
.000.480
now 0
00

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeBurch Smith — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeCole Wilcox — hold.conf 0.50
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