Rest of Season Projection
JakeCategoryTaylor
33K ←26
3.70ERA →3.67
1.24WHIP1.24
1–3W →2–5
0SV0
Current Season
JakeCategoryTaylor
20K ←12
5.00ERA →1.80
1.33WHIP →0.68
1W →2
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Jake Bird
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.347 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Taylor Clarke
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.182 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 2.95 is 1.22 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 13% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Jake Bird: 33 K / 3.70 ERA. Taylor Clarke: 26 K / 3.67 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).