Rest of Season Projection
ChadCategoryJake
57K ←35
3.73ERA →3.70
1.39WHIP →1.24
2–7W ←1–3
1–5SV ←0
Current Season
ChadCategoryJake
34K ←20
2.54ERA ←5.00
1.20WHIP ←1.33
3W ←1
2SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Chad Patrick
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.273 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 3.74 is 1.40 above the ERA — regression coming
Jake Bird
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.347 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Chad Patrick: 57 K / 3.73 ERA. Jake Bird: 35 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).