Rest of Season Projection
ChadCategoryHoby
57K ←28
3.73ERA ←3.76
1.39WHIP →1.25
2–7W ←1–2
1–5SV ←1–3
Current Season
ChadCategoryHoby
34K ←12
2.54ERA →2.49
1.20WHIP →1.03
3W ←1
2SV ←1
What Each Player's System Trusts
Chad Patrick
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.273 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 3.74 is 1.40 above the ERA — regression coming
Hoby Milner
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.214 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 5.02 is 2.74 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 13% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Chad Patrick: 57 K / 3.73 ERA. Hoby Milner: 28 K / 3.76 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).