Rest of Season Projection
ChadCategoryJosé
57K ←49
3.73ERA3.73
1.39WHIP →1.26
2–7W ←0–0
1–5SV ←1–3
Current Season
ChadCategoryJosé
34K ←33
2.54ERA ←5.46
1.20WHIP ←1.89
3W ←0
2SV ←1
What Each Player's System Trusts
Chad Patrick
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.273 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 3.74 is 1.40 above the ERA — regression coming
José Suarez
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.440 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Chad Patrick: 57 K / 3.73 ERA. José Suarez: 49 K / 3.73 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).