Rest of Season Projection
ChadCategoryLake
57K ←49
3.73ERA →3.65
1.39WHIP →1.24
2–7W ←0–0
1–5SV ←0
Current Season
ChadCategoryLake
34K ←32
2.54ERA ←3.77
1.20WHIP →1.01
3W ←0
2SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Chad Patrick
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.273 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 3.74 is 1.40 above the ERA — regression coming
Lake Bachar
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.12)
Chad Patrick: 57 K / 3.73 ERA. Lake Bachar: 49 K / 3.65 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).