MLB Daily DeltaWeek 19 · August 3, 2026
Portrait of Craig Kimbrel
Craig Kimbrel
TB · P
Change to
Portrait of Lake Bachar
Lake Bachar
MIA · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Craig Kimbrel.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts and WHIP. Lake Bachar’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Craig Kimbrel wins 2 categories (K, WHIP); Lake Bachar wins 1 (ERA); 1 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Craig Kimbrel
93.6
Lake Bachar
94.7
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Craig Kimbrel
12.2%
Lake Bachar
14.3%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Craig Kimbrel
22.5%
Lake Bachar
25.2%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Craig Kimbrel
29.2%
Lake Bachar
29.4%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Craig Kimbrel
36.3%
Lake Bachar
36.8%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Craig Kimbrel
3.3%
Lake Bachar
9.0%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Craig Kimbrel
.311
Lake Bachar
.291
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Craig Kimbrel
2.666.48
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.63
3.70
Lake Bachar
2.666.48
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.77
3.51
WHIPlower is better
Craig Kimbrel
.9001.61
now 1.44
1.24
Lake Bachar
.9001.61
now 1.01
1.26

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Craig Kimbrel
4038
now 17
23
Lake Bachar
4038
now 32
22
Winshigher is better
Craig Kimbrel
.000.480
now 0
00
Lake Bachar
.000.480
now 0
00

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeCraig Kimbrel — hold.conf 0.50
BuyLake Bachar — buy.conf 0.78
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