MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 27, 2026
Portrait of Keaton Winn
Keaton Winn
SF · P
Change to
Portrait of Lake Bachar
Lake Bachar
PIT · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 1–1, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
▶
◀
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Keaton Winn wins 1 (WHIP); Lake Bachar wins 1 (ERA); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Keaton Winn
96.1
Lake Bachar
94.4
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Keaton Winn
10.9%
Lake Bachar
13.4%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Keaton Winn
18.8%
Lake Bachar
25.3%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Keaton Winn
27.7%
Lake Bachar
28.6%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Keaton Winn
33.3%
Lake Bachar
34.4%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Keaton Winn
4.9%
Lake Bachar
7.7%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Keaton Winn
.308
Lake Bachar
.289
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Keaton Winn
24.30
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.45
3.72
Lake Bachar
24.30
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.77
3.49
WHIPlower is better
Keaton Winn
.9001.43
now 0.90
1.25
Lake Bachar
.9001.43
now 1.01
1.28

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Keaton Winn
4044.80
now 22
0
Lake Bachar
4044.80
now 32
0
Winshigher is better
Keaton Winn
.0001.48
now 1
0–0
Lake Bachar
.0001.48
now 0
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Sell HighKeaton Winn — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.81
BuyLake Bachar — buy.conf 0.78
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