Rest of Season Projection
HobyCategoryLake
31K →50
3.76ERA →3.65
1.25WHIP →1.24
1–3W ←0–0
1–3SV ←0
Current Season
HobyCategoryLake
12K →32
2.49ERA ←3.77
1.03WHIP →1.01
1W ←0
1SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Hoby Milner
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.217 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.91 is 2.58 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 12% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Lake Bachar
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.12)
Hoby Milner: 31 K / 3.76 ERA. Lake Bachar: 50 K / 3.65 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).