Rest of Season Projection
ConnorCategoryHoby
31K ←28
3.70ERA ←3.79
1.24WHIP ←1.25
1–3W1–2
0SV →1–3
Current Season
ConnorCategoryHoby
15K ←12
3.12ERA →2.49
1.38WHIP →1.03
1W1
0SV →1
What Each Player's System Trusts
Connor Seabold
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.333 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Hoby Milner
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.247 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 5.52 is 1.34 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 12% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Connor Seabold: 31 K / 3.70 ERA. Hoby Milner: 28 K / 3.79 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).