MLB Daily DeltaWeek 15 · July 7, 2026
Portrait of Caleb Ferguson
Caleb Ferguson
CIN · P
Change to
Portrait of Connor Seabold
Connor Seabold
KC · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 11, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Caleb Ferguson wins 1 (K); Connor Seabold wins 1 (W); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Caleb Ferguson
92.5
Connor Seabold
93.6
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Caleb Ferguson
9.2%
Connor Seabold
9.5%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Caleb Ferguson
22.9%
Connor Seabold
17.7%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Caleb Ferguson
29.8%
Connor Seabold
30.3%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Caleb Ferguson
34.0%
Connor Seabold
37.0%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Caleb Ferguson
2.1%
Connor Seabold
6.2%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Caleb Ferguson
.286
Connor Seabold
.308
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Caleb Ferguson
25.18
lg xERA 4.10
now 0.00
3.70
Connor Seabold
25.18
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.12
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Caleb Ferguson
.9001.69
now 0.60
1.24
Connor Seabold
.9001.69
now 1.38
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Caleb Ferguson
4045.20
now 6
34
Connor Seabold
4045.20
now 15
22
Winshigher is better
Caleb Ferguson
.0002.80
now 0
00
Connor Seabold
.0002.80
now 1
12

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeCaleb Ferguson — hold.conf 0.50
Buy LowConnor Seabold — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90
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