MLB Daily DeltaWeek 15 · July 5, 2026
Portrait of Caleb Ferguson
Caleb Ferguson
CIN · P
Change to
Portrait of John King
John King
MIA · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

John King.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA, wins, and saves.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

John King wins 3 categories (ERA, W, SV); Caleb Ferguson wins 1 (K); 1 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Caleb Ferguson
92.5
John King
90.5
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Caleb Ferguson
9.2%
John King
11.2%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Caleb Ferguson
22.9%
John King
20.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Caleb Ferguson
29.8%
John King
34.6%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Caleb Ferguson
34.0%
John King
36.6%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Caleb Ferguson
2.1%
John King
8.9%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Caleb Ferguson
.286
John King
.282
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Caleb Ferguson
25.18
lg xERA 4.10
now 0.00
3.70
John King
25.18
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.52
3.68
WHIPlower is better
Caleb Ferguson
.9001.50
now 0.60
1.24
John King
.9001.50
now 0.72
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Caleb Ferguson
4046.60
now 6
35
John King
4046.60
now 20
18
Winshigher is better
Caleb Ferguson
.0002.80
now 0
00
John King
.0002.80
now 1
12
Saveshigher is better
Caleb Ferguson
.0003.40
now 0
0
John King
.0003.40
now 1
02
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeCaleb Ferguson — hold.conf 0.50
Sell HighJohn King — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.93
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