MLB Daily DeltaWeek 10 · June 3, 2026
Engraved portrait of John King
week 10
this weekSELL-HIGH
last weekSELL-HIGH
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John King

MIA·P
data as of June 3, 2026·week 10

King is a sell-high — his BABIP-against is unsustainably low.

Surface ERA flattered by an unsustainably low BABIP-against; xERA says regression. Sell high.

Sell High
high0.84

Drivers

  • babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.117 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
  • xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.25 is 0.73 above the ERA — regression coming
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed31.7%
31.7%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−8.3%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL63 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed7.9%
7.9%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−0.1%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL63 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.287
.287
lg avg .315 ▼−.028too early to trust
NOISE94 / 200 TBF
xERA3.25
3.25
lg avg 4.10 ▼−0.85too early to trust
NOISE94 / 200 TBF
ERA2.52
2.52
lg avg 4.10 ▼−1.58too early to trust
NOISE25 / 200 IP
Strikeout %21.3%
21.3%
lg avg 22.0% ▼−0.7%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL94 / 70 TBF
Walk %8.5%
8.5%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+0.5%too early to trust
NOISE94 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.117
.117
lg avg .295 ▼−.178too early to trust
NOISE63 / 800 BIP