MLB Daily DeltaWeek 15 · July 5, 2026
Portrait of Caleb Ferguson
Caleb Ferguson
CIN · P
Change to
Portrait of Dylan Dodd
Dylan Dodd
ATL · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 11, 3 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Caleb Ferguson wins 1 (K); Dylan Dodd wins 1 (SV); 3 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Caleb Ferguson
92.5
Dylan Dodd
94.2
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Caleb Ferguson
9.2%
Dylan Dodd
15.5%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Caleb Ferguson
22.9%
Dylan Dodd
29.5%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Caleb Ferguson
29.8%
Dylan Dodd
31.3%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Caleb Ferguson
34.0%
Dylan Dodd
40.7%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Caleb Ferguson
2.1%
Dylan Dodd
7.4%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Caleb Ferguson
.286
Dylan Dodd
.268
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Caleb Ferguson
25.18
lg xERA 4.10
now 0.00
3.70
Dylan Dodd
25.18
lg xERA 4.10
now 1.69
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Caleb Ferguson
.9001.50
now 0.60
1.24
Dylan Dodd
.9001.50
now 0.75
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Caleb Ferguson
4046.60
now 6
35
Dylan Dodd
4046.60
now 12
21
Winshigher is better
Caleb Ferguson
.000.480
now 0
00
Dylan Dodd
.000.480
now 0
00
Saveshigher is better
Caleb Ferguson
.0005.60
now 0
0
Dylan Dodd
.0005.60
now 1
14
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeCaleb Ferguson — hold.conf 0.50
Sell HighDylan Dodd — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.78
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