MLB Daily DeltaWeek 15 · July 5, 2026
Portrait of Caleb Ferguson
Caleb Ferguson
CIN · P
Change to
Portrait of Chad Patrick
Chad Patrick
MIL · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Chad Patrick.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, wins, and saves.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Chad Patrick wins 3 categories (K, W, SV); Caleb Ferguson wins 2 (ERA, WHIP).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Caleb Ferguson
92.5
Chad Patrick
95.1
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Caleb Ferguson
9.2%
Chad Patrick
12.8%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Caleb Ferguson
22.9%
Chad Patrick
20.3%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Caleb Ferguson
29.8%
Chad Patrick
31.7%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Caleb Ferguson
34.0%
Chad Patrick
38.1%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Caleb Ferguson
2.1%
Chad Patrick
7.1%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Caleb Ferguson
.286
Chad Patrick
.319
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Caleb Ferguson
25.67
lg xERA 4.10
now 0.00
3.70
Chad Patrick
25.67
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.54
4.05
WHIPlower is better
Caleb Ferguson
.9001.65
now 0.60
1.24
Chad Patrick
.9001.65
now 1.20
1.35

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Caleb Ferguson
4049.40
now 6
35
Chad Patrick
4049.40
now 34
37
Winshigher is better
Caleb Ferguson
.0007
now 0
00
Chad Patrick
.0007
now 3
25
Saveshigher is better
Caleb Ferguson
.0005.60
now 0
0
Chad Patrick
.0005.60
now 2
14
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeCaleb Ferguson — hold.conf 0.50
Sell HighChad Patrick — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.93
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