Rest of Season Projection
JohnCategoryJonathan
29K →30
3.67ERA ←3.70
1.24WHIP1.24
1–3W1–2
1–3SV1–2
Current Season
JohnCategoryJonathan
20K ←13
2.52ERA →2.49
0.72WHIP ←1.06
1W1
1SV1
What Each Player's System Trusts
John King
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.108 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.09 is 0.73 above the ERA — regression coming
Jonathan Loáisiga
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.95)
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 15% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
John King: 29 K / 3.67 ERA. Jonathan Loáisiga: 30 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).