MLB Daily DeltaWeek 11 · June 4, 2026
Engraved portrait of John King
John King
MIA·P
Sell High high·0.84
Change to
Matt Strahm
KC·P
Hold med·0.50
Change to

Rest of Season Projection

JohnCategoryMatt
29K 42
3.67ERA 3.70
1.24WHIP1.24
1–3W1–3
1–3SV 0

Current Season

JohnCategoryMatt
20K 17
2.52ERA 3.86
0.72WHIP 1.29
1W1
1SV 0

What Each Player's System Trusts

John King
  • babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.108 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
  • xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.09 is 0.73 above the ERA — regression coming
Matt Strahm
  • xeraNOISEskill near league average (2.98)

John King: 29 K / 3.67 ERA. Matt Strahm: 42 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.

Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).

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