MLB Daily DeltaWeek 19 · July 30, 2026
Portrait of Jake Woodford
Jake Woodford
CHC · P
Change to
Matt Strahm
KC · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 11, 3 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Jake Woodford wins 1 (SV); Matt Strahm wins 1 (K); 3 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Jake Woodford
93.4
Matt Strahm
91.2
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Jake Woodford
9.3%
Matt Strahm
11.6%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Jake Woodford
18.7%
Matt Strahm
18.6%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Jake Woodford
27.8%
Matt Strahm
31.0%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Jake Woodford
48.4%
Matt Strahm
38.7%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Jake Woodford
8.6%
Matt Strahm
9.9%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Jake Woodford
.367
Matt Strahm
.308
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Jake Woodford
2.707.20
lg xERA 4.10
now 6.20
3.71
Matt Strahm
2.707.20
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.86
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Jake Woodford
1.071.84
now 1.67
1.24
Matt Strahm
1.071.84
now 1.29
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Jake Woodford
4026.60
now 19
15
Matt Strahm
4026.60
now 17
21
Winshigher is better
Jake Woodford
.5201.48
now 1
11
Matt Strahm
.5201.48
now 1
11
Saveshigher is better
Jake Woodford
.0003.40
now 1
02
Matt Strahm
.0003.40
now 0
0
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeJake Woodford — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeMatt Strahm — hold.conf 0.50
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