week 19
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD
Jake Woodford
data as of July 30, 2026·week 19
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (5.92); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSK 15ERA 3.71WHIP 1.24W 1–1SV 0–2
Woodford is a hold — league average, no signal either way.
ROS projects K 19 YTD → 15 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Strikeout %18.7%—+3.4% ▲vs his ~15.3% career norm
Drivers
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (5.92)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed48.4%
lg avg 40.0% ▲+8.4%vs his norm —
93 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed8.6%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+0.6%vs his norm —
93 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.367
lg avg .315 ▲+.052vs his norm —xwOBA Allowed is above the ~.315 league average — expect it to fall.
123 / 200 TBF
xERA5.92
lg avg 4.10 ▲+1.82vs his norm —xERA is above the ~4.10 league average — expect it to fall.
123 / 200 TBF
ERA7.46
lg avg 4.10 ▲+3.36vs his norm —ERA is above the ~4.10 league average — expect it to fall.
25.3 / 200 IP
Strikeout %18.7%
lg avg 22.0% ▼−3.3%vs his norm +3.4% ▲
123 / 70 TBF
Walk %5.7%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−2.3%vs his norm −1.8% ▼Walk % is below his ~7.5% norm — expect it to rise.
123 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.398
lg avg .295 ▲+.103vs his norm —BABIP Against is above the ~.295 league average — expect it to fall.
93 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %9.3%
lg avg 11.0% ▼−1.8%vs his norm —
123 / 60 TBF
Chase %27.8%
lg avg 28.5% ▼−0.7%vs his norm —
123 / 60 TBF
Fastball Velo93.4 mph
lg avg 94.0 mph ▼−0.6 mphvs his norm —
443 / 50 PITCHES
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
K% 18.7%→16.6%signal15 K — K% 18.7% (signal) tempered to career ~15.3% → projected 16.6% over ~19 remaining…
xERA 5.92noise3.71 ERA — xERA 5.92 (noise) blended 0% skill / 100% league 3.70 at 20 IP.
BB% 5.7% + contactnoise1.24 WHIP — a 6% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.307 gives a 1.35 skill WHIP, blended 0%…
run support + role1-1 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.
role (middle)0-2 SV — role: middle, in the save mix only situationally.
rosterdeep3.71 ERA, 1.24 WHIP
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.