MLB Daily DeltaWeek 18 · July 27, 2026
Matt Strahm
KC · P
Change to
Portrait of Ryan Thompson
Ryan Thompson
AZ · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 11, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Matt Strahm wins 1 (K); Ryan Thompson wins 1 (W); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Matt Strahm
91.2
Ryan Thompson
91.0
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Matt Strahm
11.4%
Ryan Thompson
9.5%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Matt Strahm
18.4%
Ryan Thompson
15.7%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Matt Strahm
30.3%
Ryan Thompson
36.3%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Matt Strahm
39.8%
Ryan Thompson
33.9%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Matt Strahm
10.2%
Ryan Thompson
3.9%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Matt Strahm
.312
Ryan Thompson
.310
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Matt Strahm
2.314.30
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.86
3.70
Ryan Thompson
2.314.30
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.75
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Matt Strahm
1.101.36
now 1.29
1.24
Ryan Thompson
1.101.36
now 1.17
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Matt Strahm
4027.60
now 17
22
Ryan Thompson
4027.60
now 12
12
Winshigher is better
Matt Strahm
.2003.80
now 1
12
Ryan Thompson
.2003.80
now 2
13

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeMatt Strahm — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeRyan Thompson — hold.conf 0.50
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