Rest of Season Projection
MattCategoryPeyton
42K42
3.70ERA3.70
1.24WHIP1.24
1–3W1–3
0SV0
Current Season
MattCategoryPeyton
17K →18
3.86ERA →3.57
1.29WHIP ←1.30
1W1
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Matt Strahm
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (2.98)
Peyton Gray
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.275 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.92 is 0.35 above the ERA — regression coming
Matt Strahm: 42 K / 3.70 ERA. Peyton Gray: 42 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).