Rest of Season Projection
AndrewCategoryPeyton
38K →42
3.69ERA3.70
1.25WHIP →1.24
1–3W1–3
1–3SV ←0
Current Season
AndrewCategoryPeyton
20K ←18
4.18ERA →3.57
1.52WHIP →1.30
1W1
1SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Andrew Morris
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.355 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Peyton Gray
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.275 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.92 is 0.35 above the ERA — regression coming
Andrew Morris: 38 K / 3.69 ERA. Peyton Gray: 42 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).

