MLB Daily DeltaWeek 15 · July 6, 2026
Portrait of Brock Burke
Brock Burke
CIN · P
Change to
Portrait of Caleb Ferguson
Caleb Ferguson
CIN · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Caleb Ferguson.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and WHIP. Brock Burke’s box score looks better right now, but it’s built on luck that won’t hold.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Caleb Ferguson wins 3 categories (K, ERA, WHIP); Brock Burke wins 2 (W, SV).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Brock Burke
96.3
Caleb Ferguson
92.5
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Brock Burke
12.2%
Caleb Ferguson
9.2%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Brock Burke
20.2%
Caleb Ferguson
22.9%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Brock Burke
27.9%
Caleb Ferguson
29.8%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Brock Burke
32.2%
Caleb Ferguson
34.0%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Brock Burke
9.6%
Caleb Ferguson
2.1%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Brock Burke
.332
Caleb Ferguson
.286
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Brock Burke
25.26
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.62
3.76
Caleb Ferguson
25.26
lg xERA 4.10
now 0.00
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Brock Burke
.9001.71
now 1.39
1.27
Caleb Ferguson
.9001.71
now 0.60
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Brock Burke
4045.20
now 27
28
Caleb Ferguson
4045.20
now 6
34
Winshigher is better
Brock Burke
.0001.48
now 1
11
Caleb Ferguson
.0001.48
now 0
00
Saveshigher is better
Brock Burke
.0003.40
now 1
02
Caleb Ferguson
.0003.40
now 0
0
If you already own them — trade angle
Sell HighBrock Burke — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95
Hold · wait & seeCaleb Ferguson — hold.conf 0.50
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