MLB Daily DeltaWeek 15 · July 6, 2026
Portrait of Caleb Ferguson
Caleb Ferguson
CIN · P
Change to
Portrait of Tim Hill
Tim Hill
NYY · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 11, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Caleb Ferguson wins 1 (K); Tim Hill wins 1 (W); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Caleb Ferguson
92.5
Tim Hill
89.3
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Caleb Ferguson
9.2%
Tim Hill
6.5%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Caleb Ferguson
22.9%
Tim Hill
12.1%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Caleb Ferguson
29.8%
Tim Hill
27.5%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Caleb Ferguson
34.0%
Tim Hill
44.8%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Caleb Ferguson
2.1%
Tim Hill
4.8%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Caleb Ferguson
.286
Tim Hill
.315
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Caleb Ferguson
25.64
lg xERA 4.10
now 0.00
3.70
Tim Hill
25.64
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.03
3.71
WHIPlower is better
Caleb Ferguson
.9001.50
now 0.60
1.24
Tim Hill
.9001.50
now 1.21
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Caleb Ferguson
4045.20
now 6
34
Tim Hill
4045.20
now 11
15
Winshigher is better
Caleb Ferguson
.0004.20
now 0
00
Tim Hill
.0004.20
now 2
13

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeCaleb Ferguson — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeTim Hill — hold.conf 0.50
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