Rest of Season Projection
ChadCategoryLuis
57K ←41
3.73ERA3.74
1.39WHIP →1.25
2–7W ←1–3
1–5SV ←0
Current Season
ChadCategoryLuis
34K ←27
2.54ERA ←2.88
1.20WHIP1.20
3W ←1
2SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Chad Patrick
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.273 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 3.74 is 1.40 above the ERA — regression coming
Luis Medina
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.273 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.54 is 1.77 above the ERA — regression coming
Chad Patrick: 57 K / 3.73 ERA. Luis Medina: 41 K / 3.74 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).