Rest of Season Projection
LuisCategorySean
41K →68
3.73ERA ←3.77
1.25WHIP ←1.26
1–3W ←0–0
0SV0
Current Season
LuisCategorySean
27K →42
2.88ERA ←5.08
1.20WHIP ←1.46
1W ←0
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Luis Medina
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.266 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.44 is 1.56 above the ERA — regression coming
Sean Manaea
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.343 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Luis Medina: 41 K / 3.73 ERA. Sean Manaea: 68 K / 3.77 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).