Rest of Season Projection
JakeCategoryLuis
35K →41
3.70ERA ←3.73
1.24WHIP ←1.25
1–3W1–3
0SV0
Current Season
JakeCategoryLuis
20K →27
5.00ERA →2.88
1.33WHIP →1.20
1W1
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Jake Bird
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.347 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Luis Medina
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.266 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.44 is 1.56 above the ERA — regression coming
Jake Bird: 35 K / 3.70 ERA. Luis Medina: 41 K / 3.73 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).