Rest of Season Projection
HobyCategoryJake
31K →35
3.76ERA →3.70
1.25WHIP →1.24
1–3W1–3
1–3SV ←0
Current Season
HobyCategoryJake
12K →20
2.49ERA ←5.00
1.03WHIP ←1.33
1W1
1SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Hoby Milner
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.217 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.91 is 2.58 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 12% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Jake Bird
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.347 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Hoby Milner: 31 K / 3.76 ERA. Jake Bird: 35 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).