Rest of Season Projection
ChadCategoryEvan
57K ←50
3.73ERA →3.63
1.39WHIP →1.24
2–7W ←0–0
1–5SV ←0
Current Season
ChadCategoryEvan
34K ←30
2.54ERA →1.44
1.20WHIP →1.04
3W ←0
2SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Chad Patrick
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.273 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 3.74 is 1.40 above the ERA — regression coming
Evan Sisk
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (2.25)
Chad Patrick: 57 K / 3.73 ERA. Evan Sisk: 50 K / 3.63 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).