
week 17
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD
Evan Sisk
data as of July 18, 2026·week 17
ON THE 15-DAY IL
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (2.87); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSK 28ERA 3.66WHIP 1.24W 0–0SV 0
Sisk is a hold — league-average skill with nothing pulling either way.
ROS projects K 30 YTD → 28 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Strikeout %28.3%—−2.4% ▼vs his ~30.7% career norm
Drivers
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (2.87)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed31.1%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−8.9%vs his norm —
90 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed3.3%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−4.7%vs his norm —
90 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.265
lg avg .315 ▼−.050vs his norm —xwOBA Allowed is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
152 / 200 TBF
xERA2.87
lg avg 4.10 ▼−1.23vs his norm —xERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.
152 / 200 TBF
ERA2.23
lg avg 4.10 ▼−1.87vs his norm —ERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.
36.3 / 200 IP
Strikeout %28.3%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+6.3%vs his norm −2.4% ▼
152 / 70 TBF
Walk %8.6%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+0.6%vs his norm −2.0% ▼Walk % is below his ~10.6% norm — expect it to rise.
152 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.326
lg avg .295 ▲+.031vs his norm —BABIP Against is above the ~.295 league average — expect it to fall.
90 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %11.4%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+0.4%vs his norm —
152 / 60 TBF
Chase %24.3%
lg avg 28.5% ▼−4.2%vs his norm —
152 / 60 TBF
Fastball Velo91.6 mph
lg avg 94.0 mph ▼−2.4 mphvs his norm —
641 / 50 PITCHES
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
K% 28.3%→29.7%signal28 K — K% 28.3% (signal) lifted to career ~30.7% → projected 29.7% over ~22 remaining IP.
xERA 2.87noise3.66 ERA — xERA 2.87 (noise) blended 5% skill / 95% league 3.70 at 25 IP.
BB% 8.6% + contactnoise1.24 WHIP — a 9% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.298 gives a 1.27 skill WHIP, blended 5%…
run support + role0-0 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.
role (setup)0 SV — role: setup, not in the save mix.
rosterdeep3.66 ERA, 1.24 WHIP
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.