week 27
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD
Evan Sisk
data as of September 27, 2026·week 27
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (3.68); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSK 0WHIP 1.25ERA 3.70W 0–0SV 0
Sisk is a hold — near league average, nothing unstable underneath.
ROS projects K 30 YTD → 0 ROS, WHIP 1.04 YTD → 1.25 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Strikeout %25.4%—−5.3% ▼vs his ~30.7% career norm
- Walk %13.0%—+2.4% ▲vs his ~10.6% career norm
Drivers
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.68)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed30.0%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−10.0%vs his norm —
110 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed3.6%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−4.4%vs his norm —
110 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.296
lg avg .315 ▼−.019vs his norm —xwOBA Allowed is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
193 / 200 TBF
xERA3.68
lg avg 4.10 ▼−0.42vs his norm —xERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.
193 / 200 TBF
ERA3.07
lg avg 4.10 ▼−1.03vs his norm —ERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.
44 / 200 IP
Strikeout %25.4%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+3.4%vs his norm −5.3% ▼
193 / 70 TBF
Walk %13.0%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+5.0%vs his norm +2.4% ▲
193 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.302
lg avg .295 ▲+.007vs his norm —BABIP Against is above the ~.295 league average — expect it to fall.
110 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %11.1%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+0.1%vs his norm —
193 / 60 TBF
Chase %23.6%
lg avg 28.5% ▼−4.9%vs his norm —
193 / 60 TBF
Fastball Velo91.5 mph
lg avg 94.0 mph ▼−2.5 mphvs his norm —
816 / 50 PITCHES
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
K% 25.4%→28.1%signal0 K — K% 25.4% (signal) lifted to career ~30.7% → projected 28.1% over ~0 remaining IP.
xERA 3.68noise3.70 ERA — xERA 3.68 (noise) blended 5% skill / 95% league 3.70 at 25 IP.
BB% 13.0% + contactsignal1.25 WHIP — a 13% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.296 gives a 1.50 skill WHIP, blended 5…
run support + role0-0 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.
role (setup)0 SV — role: setup, not in the save mix.
rosterdeep3.70 ERA, 1.25 WHIP
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.