Rest of Season Projection
JakeCategorySam
35K →41
3.70ERA →3.62
1.24WHIP ←1.26
1–3W1–2
0SV0
Current Season
JakeCategorySam
20K →29
5.00ERA →2.22
1.33WHIP →1.09
1W1
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Jake Bird
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.347 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Sam Bachman
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.221 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 2.64 is 0.42 above the ERA — regression coming
Jake Bird: 35 K / 3.70 ERA. Sam Bachman: 41 K / 3.62 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).