Rest of Season Projection
ConnorCategorySam
31K →38
3.70ERA →3.62
1.24WHIP ←1.25
1–3W ←1–2
0SV0
Current Season
ConnorCategorySam
15K →29
3.12ERA →2.22
1.38WHIP →1.09
1W1
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Connor Seabold
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.333 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Sam Bachman
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.217 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 2.71 is 0.56 above the ERA — regression coming
Connor Seabold: 31 K / 3.70 ERA. Sam Bachman: 38 K / 3.62 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).