MLB Daily DeltaWeek 15 · July 5, 2026
Portrait of Caleb Ferguson
Caleb Ferguson
CIN · P
Change to
Portrait of Sam Bachman
Sam Bachman
LAA · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Caleb Ferguson wins 2 (K, WHIP); Sam Bachman wins 2 (ERA, W); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Caleb Ferguson
92.5
Sam Bachman
98.7
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Caleb Ferguson
9.2%
Sam Bachman
14.6%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Caleb Ferguson
22.9%
Sam Bachman
24.4%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Caleb Ferguson
29.8%
Sam Bachman
31.1%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Caleb Ferguson
34.0%
Sam Bachman
33.0%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Caleb Ferguson
2.1%
Sam Bachman
7.0%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Caleb Ferguson
.286
Sam Bachman
.291
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Caleb Ferguson
25.18
lg xERA 4.10
now 0.00
3.70
Sam Bachman
25.18
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.22
3.68
WHIPlower is better
Caleb Ferguson
.9001.51
now 0.60
1.24
Sam Bachman
.9001.51
now 1.09
1.25

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Caleb Ferguson
4046.60
now 6
35
Sam Bachman
4046.60
now 29
28
Winshigher is better
Caleb Ferguson
.0002.80
now 0
00
Sam Bachman
.0002.80
now 1
12

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeCaleb Ferguson — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeSam Bachman — hold.conf 0.50
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