MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 19, 2026
Portrait of Andrew Alvarez
Andrew Alvarez
WSH · P
Change to
Portrait of Jake Bird
Jake Bird
NYY · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Andrew Alvarez.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, wins, and saves.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Andrew Alvarez wins 3 categories (K, W, SV); Jake Bird wins 2 (ERA, WHIP).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Andrew Alvarez
92.4
Jake Bird
94.0
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Andrew Alvarez
12.2%
Jake Bird
11.2%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Andrew Alvarez
25.0%
Jake Bird
22.7%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Andrew Alvarez
30.6%
Jake Bird
23.3%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Andrew Alvarez
43.0%
Jake Bird
37.5%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Andrew Alvarez
5.2%
Jake Bird
10.2%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Andrew Alvarez
.321
Jake Bird
.333
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Andrew Alvarez
3.185.52
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.02
4.09
Jake Bird
3.185.52
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.00
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Andrew Alvarez
1.171.43
now 1.28
1.36
Jake Bird
1.171.43
now 1.33
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Andrew Alvarez
4042.20
now 17
35
Jake Bird
4042.20
now 20
20
Winshigher is better
Andrew Alvarez
.2003.80
now 1
13
Jake Bird
.2003.80
now 1
12
Saveshigher is better
Andrew Alvarez
.0005.60
now 1
14
Jake Bird
.0005.60
now 0
0
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · leans sellAndrew Alvarez — hold.conf 0.60
Hold · wait & seeJake Bird — hold.conf 0.50
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