MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 19, 2026
Portrait of Andrew Alvarez
Andrew Alvarez
WSH · P
Change to
Cionel Pérez
NYM · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22, 1 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Andrew Alvarez wins 2 (K, SV); Cionel Pérez wins 2 (ERA, WHIP); 1 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Andrew Alvarez
92.4
Cionel Pérez
96.7
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Andrew Alvarez
12.2%
Cionel Pérez
10.6%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Andrew Alvarez
25.0%
Cionel Pérez
20.1%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Andrew Alvarez
30.6%
Cionel Pérez
30.3%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Andrew Alvarez
43.0%
Cionel Pérez
51.4%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Andrew Alvarez
5.2%
Cionel Pérez
13.5%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Andrew Alvarez
.321
Cionel Pérez
.366
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Andrew Alvarez
2.856.67
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.02
4.09
Cionel Pérez
2.856.67
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.82
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Andrew Alvarez
1.101.73
now 1.28
1.36
Cionel Pérez
1.101.73
now 1.59
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Andrew Alvarez
4045
now 17
35
Cionel Pérez
4045
now 10
11
Winshigher is better
Andrew Alvarez
.2003.80
now 1
13
Cionel Pérez
.2003.80
now 2
13
Saveshigher is better
Andrew Alvarez
.0005.60
now 1
14
Cionel Pérez
.0005.60
now 0
0
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · leans sellAndrew Alvarez — hold.conf 0.60
Hold · wait & seeCionel Pérez — hold.conf 0.50
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