MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 16, 2026
Portrait of Caleb Ferguson
Caleb Ferguson
CIN · P
Change to
Cionel Pérez
NYM · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 11, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Caleb Ferguson wins 1 (K); Cionel Pérez wins 1 (W); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Caleb Ferguson
92.5
Cionel Pérez
96.7
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Caleb Ferguson
8.6%
Cionel Pérez
10.6%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Caleb Ferguson
21.3%
Cionel Pérez
20.1%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Caleb Ferguson
29.7%
Cionel Pérez
30.3%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Caleb Ferguson
34.5%
Cionel Pérez
51.4%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Caleb Ferguson
1.8%
Cionel Pérez
13.5%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Caleb Ferguson
.278
Cionel Pérez
.366
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Caleb Ferguson
28.15
lg xERA 4.10
now 0.00
3.70
Cionel Pérez
28.15
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.82
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Caleb Ferguson
.9001.99
now 0.60
1.24
Cionel Pérez
.9001.99
now 1.59
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Caleb Ferguson
4041
now 6
31
Cionel Pérez
4041
now 10
12
Winshigher is better
Caleb Ferguson
.0005.60
now 0
00
Cionel Pérez
.0005.60
now 2
14

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeCaleb Ferguson — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeCionel Pérez — hold.conf 0.50
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