MLB Daily DeltaWeek 16 · July 12, 2026
Portrait of Caleb Ferguson
Caleb Ferguson
CIN · P
Change to
Portrait of Eli Morgan
Eli Morgan
KC · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 11, 3 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Caleb Ferguson wins 1 (K); Eli Morgan wins 1 (SV); 3 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Caleb Ferguson
92.5
Eli Morgan
91.2
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Caleb Ferguson
8.7%
Eli Morgan
11.8%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Caleb Ferguson
22.4%
Eli Morgan
17.9%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Caleb Ferguson
29.3%
Eli Morgan
34.4%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Caleb Ferguson
33.3%
Eli Morgan
42.4%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Caleb Ferguson
2.0%
Eli Morgan
5.1%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Caleb Ferguson
.281
Eli Morgan
.399
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Caleb Ferguson
27.71
lg xERA 4.10
now 0.00
3.70
Eli Morgan
27.71
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.51
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Caleb Ferguson
.9002.42
now 0.60
1.24
Eli Morgan
.9002.42
now 1.90
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Caleb Ferguson
4042.40
now 6
32
Eli Morgan
4042.40
now 15
25
Winshigher is better
Caleb Ferguson
.000.480
now 0
00
Eli Morgan
.000.480
now 0
00
Saveshigher is better
Caleb Ferguson
.0004.40
now 0
0
Eli Morgan
.0004.40
now 1
13
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeCaleb Ferguson — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeEli Morgan — hold.conf 0.50
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