MLB Daily DeltaWeek 16 · July 11, 2026
Portrait of Eli Morgan
Eli Morgan
KC · P
Change to
Portrait of Tyler Holton
Tyler Holton
DET · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Eli Morgan.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts and saves. Tyler Holton’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Eli Morgan wins 2 categories (K, SV); Tyler Holton wins 1 (W); 2 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Eli Morgan
91.2
Tyler Holton
91.5
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Eli Morgan
11.8%
Tyler Holton
11.2%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Eli Morgan
17.9%
Tyler Holton
19.5%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Eli Morgan
34.4%
Tyler Holton
28.5%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Eli Morgan
42.4%
Tyler Holton
38.3%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Eli Morgan
5.1%
Tyler Holton
5.5%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Eli Morgan
.399
Tyler Holton
.302
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Eli Morgan
2.986.23
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.51
3.70
Tyler Holton
2.986.23
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.23
3.71
WHIPlower is better
Eli Morgan
.9802.16
now 1.90
1.24
Tyler Holton
.9802.16
now 1.37
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Eli Morgan
4031.60
now 15
26
Tyler Holton
4031.60
now 24
23
Winshigher is better
Eli Morgan
.0001.48
now 0
00
Tyler Holton
.0001.48
now 1
01
Saveshigher is better
Eli Morgan
.0004.40
now 1
13
Tyler Holton
.0004.40
now 0
0
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeEli Morgan — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeTyler Holton — hold.conf 0.50
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